Rumor has it that AMD’s next-gen graphics cards are slightly different than previously expected in terms of specs, and will undergo a new leak – and while some of the claims made in this new leak are a bit disappointed, there’s really nothing to worry about. Indeed, Nvidia will likely be worried about some of the information that is circulating here …
Before we get into why this is happening, let’s take a look at the leak itself that comes from Angstronomics (via VideoCardz (opens in a new tab)), a publication about the semiconductor industry we’ve heard about before. (Even if it’s not one of the more regular sources that reveal information on Twitter, we find Angstronomics reliable enough – plus a major YouTube leak more or less confirms these seriously detailed details, and we’ll come back to that.)
Angstronomika marks the limit on RDNA 3! We detail the key specifications of the Navi31, Navi32 and Navi33 which were finalized in 2020 and have not changed since then! We also highlight some architectural changes including OREO, WGP, cache and die sizes! https: // t.co/n2qB7KiiBgAugust 12, 2022
The key points of this speculation include that AMD focuses on “area, area, area” meaning smaller chips that are still strong enough to meet Team Red’s performance goals for RDNA 3, and also focuses on performance per watt ( performance). Of course, the company has already boasted of achieving a 50% increase over RDNA 2 with the latter (the same RDNA 2 leap that made the original RDNA architecture).
Add your own spices to it, but Angstronomics tells us that the Navi 31 – the flagship of the RX 7000 graphics cards – will, rumor has it, one Graphics Chiplet Die (GCD) and six Memory Chiplet Dies (MCD) modules, with 12 288 cores (known as ALUs). This main GCD will apparently be 308mm² in size, and the other big change from previous speculation is the size of the Infinity Cache, which is apparently 96MB for the top dog model (the trimmed Navi 31, possibly the version without the XT, will use 80MB).
The rumor mill mentioned much larger sizes like 192MB; and indeed the existing Navi 21 uses 128MB Infinity Cache, so it would actually be smaller. Angstronomers believe AMD has experimented with twice the amount of cache in the stack for the Navi 31, but that failed to provide enough additional performance to make it worth doing.
Hence, there was some slight disappointment with these rumored specs, and a second issue that caused little concern is the alleged Navi 32 configuration, which Angstronomics assures will run with 7,680 cores instead of 8192 as previously thought. The Infinity cache is expected to be set to a maximum of 64MB, or maybe 128MB for the 3D stacked model (but again it seems AMD may have rethought the idea and then abandoned it as it doesn’t make cost sense for the extra performance you get) .
As for the Navi 33, the mid-range offering, it will be much smaller if Angstronomics is for the money, with a chip rumored to be around 400mm² in size, but actually weighs more than 200mm². It is rumored to work with 32MB of Infinity Cache.
As for the cooling system of the flagship RDNA 3 graphics card, AMD is believed to retain a similar three-fan system to the existing flagship, but it will be slightly taller. According to the informant, the GPU will use a pair of 8-pin PCIe power connectors.
Analysis: Are you worried about all of this? Well, maybe Nvidia should be worried …
As mentioned, some people are concerned about the elements of this supposed spec and some of the bits that seem to be a bit shortened – or significantly in the case of the Infinity Cache – compared to the previous vines chatter. However, there’s really no need to worry, and indeed, potentially Nvidia should be worried, and here’s why.
Interestingly, Moore’s Law is dead (opens in a new tab) (MLID), a prominent leak from YouTube, quickly got hooked on the topic, and after talking to multiple sources, it almost endorses everything Angstronomics presents here. That said, there is one key difference, namely that with the Navi 32 GPU, MLID is still hearing that it will be 8,192 cores rather than the 7,680 cores mentioned in this new leak. Of course, MLID still admits that its sources can be wrong, so it could go both ways (and 7,680 cores are certainly doable).
The MLID sources largely confirm the accuracy of the specs and the smaller die sizes mentioned here, as well as the lighter load on the Infinity cache – but here’s the key thing on that front. MLID notes that the performance estimates it hears haven’t really changed, and that it still expects AMD to uphold rumors of performance leaps we’ve heard about in the past – enough to compete with the Nvidia RTX 4000 series – even though the specs have been modified along the lines above.
Even if the performance turns out to be a bit weaker than Nvidia, there shouldn’t be much of a difference that MLID theorizes. And we have to remember that considering the aforementioned smaller matrix sizes, AMD will be cheaper to produce these 3 RDNA GPUs – and therefore price them to attacking Nvidia RTX 4000 models. This could be the most exciting thing about next-gen cards if AMD is aggressive towards prices, Nvidia could be in trouble – especially considering that its more power-hungry GPUs (at least coupled with rumors) could spell other complications, such as a PSU upgrade.
Not to mention that Nvidia is reportedly having a hard time deciding on the Lovelace next-gen launch schedule, which could allow AMD to enter first with RDNA 3 graphics cards, and above all with a sales advantage over these other factors. Of course, we shouldn’t get carried away by any of these rumors, but we can imagine this latest leak to worry Nvidia on several fronts.
Oh, and as for Intel – Angstronomics mentions that the Navi 33 outperforms the flagship Arc Alchemist GPU while being more energy efficient and costs less than half as much, which of course would be a bit of a torpedo to sink Team Blue’s desktop GPUs (which are already struggling even if it is, without competing next-generation products).